July 10, 2025
By Sam Weiger
Games are listed in chronological order.
Boston Glory at Philadelphia Phoenix
Friday, July 11 - 7:00 PM/ET - Watch link
Boston’s doubleheader this weekend gives them two opportunities to clinch the top seed in the East Division for the first time in franchise history.
Their best chance to secure it is undoubtedly on Friday night.
The Glory have dominated the Phoenix recently, winning their last six matchups, including three blowout wins since the Jeff Babbitt era began in Boston.
For Philly to have a shot at bucking this trend, their D-line will likely need to carry the team. They've been capitalizing on breaks at a high rate lately, boasting a 42.5 percent break rate in their last two games.
It's important to note, however, that those games were against Pittsburgh and Montreal. The Phoenix have yet to surpass a 30 percent break rate in any game against opponents currently at a .500 record or better.
One Big Number:
27 - Since the Babbitt era began, Boston's goal differential against Philadelphia in their three meetings is a remarkable +27.
16.25 - Philly’s break rate against teams currently at .500 or better is just 16.25 percent.
Colorado Summit at Salt Lake Shred | Friday Night Frisbee (Free on YouTube)
Friday, July 11 - 9:00 PM/ET - Watch link
Salt Lake is in a comfortable position, able to lose by up to five goals on Friday and still secure the division title. But don't expect them to take this game lightly.
The Shred have been applying increased defensive pressure in their last couple games, most notably last week against the Summit. They sustained heavy pressure on the mark for the entire game, successfully trapped Colorado’s O-line using roller pulls, and forced Colorado’s O-line into extended possessions.
If Salt Lake’s defensive intensity, particularly Tony Mounga's, remains this high on Friday, then it will be difficult for the Summit to exact revenge.
Mounga spent most of last week’s game covering Tobias Brooks, the undisputed centerpiece of the Summit O-line when active (averaging 72.5 completions per game). Mounga successfully frustrated Brooks throughout the game, leading to four turnovers and three failed huck attempts out of five.
Keeping Brooks uncomfortable and forcing the Summit O-line to stay on the field will be key for the Shred on Friday. By consistently forcing Colorado's offense to move horizontally for extended periods, Salt Lake's D-line induced mistakes stemming from impatient throws and player fatigue.
So the key for Colorado this week is straightforward: they must match Salt Lake's intensity. Their energy level, both from the O-line and D-line, wasn’t high enough last week. Their defensive pressure, in particular, was too loose; they didn't apply enough pressure on roller pulls or on the mark. As a result, they couldn't generate enough blocks or turnovers, and that has to change to take some pressure off their O-line.
And they'll need to clamp down hard on Jordan Kerr every time he touches the disc. While his stats weren't eye-popping last game, he delivered big, momentum-shifting plays at crucial moments. His throwing yards are trending up, with four of his top five performances this season coming in his last four outings. I expect him to remain more involved, and we all know just how impactful Kerr can be.
One Big Number:
95 - Salt Lake's hold rate against Colorado last week was an absolutely absurd 95 percent (18/19).
3 - The Summit managed just three blocks against the Shred last week.
Boston Glory at DC Breeze | Game of the Week
Saturday, July 12 - 7:00 PM/ET - Watch link
DC's streak of high-stakes games continues. Unless Philly manages to stun Boston on Friday night, the Breeze can clinch a playoff spot with a win over Boston. But if they lose, their playoff fate could well be determined by a do-or-die Week 13 season finale.
Following Boston's uncharacteristically poor offensive showing last week against DC, I'm watching two key areas this week.
Boston’s O-line needs players to step up this week, particularly if Simon Carapella remains sidelined. His absence was keenly felt last week against DC's stout defense, as the Glory clearly missed his playmaking ability.
Last week, playmakers Calvin Stoughton and Orion Cable were uncharacteristically quiet against the Breeze. For the Glory to bounce back this week, one of them will likely need to step up and provide more support to Tobe Decreane, who was shouldering most of the receiving load.
And will the O-line cut down on the mistakes they made last week? Several risky throws by Boston into coverage fueled DC's 7-2 third-quarter surge, leaving the Glory playing catch-up for the rest of the game.
Against the Breeze, every possession is crucial, as their D-line powerfully demonstrated last week. They were relentless, swarming the Glory to force turnovers and capitalizing on scoring chances.
Their clash with Boston's O-line could be very entertaining, especially since a physical foul on Thomas Edmonds last week ignited tensions.
One Big Number:
15 - This season, Boston's hold rate is 48 percent against the Breeze, but almost 79 percent against all other teams.
70 - Last week, DC's D-line converted 70 percent of their possessions against a Boston team that has limited opposing D-lines to a 41.67 percent conversion rate (third-best in UFA).
Atlanta Hustle at Carolina Flyers
Saturday, July 12 - 7:00 PM/ET - Watch link
If two games could be 'Game of the Week,' this would undoubtedly be the second. The high stakes and unrivaled storylines are just too compelling.
Saturday presents a massive opportunity for Atlanta: a win means they eliminate the Flyers from playoff contention, keeping Carolina out of the postseason for the first time in franchise history. Some would argue that the Flyers pose a greater threat to Atlanta's Championship Weekend aspirations than Austin or San Diego.
So you can imagine the challenge: defeating a desperate AND streaking Carolina team that's on a historic playoff push, aiming to overcome a winless first third of their season—a feat that would be remembered for a long time.
Adding to the drama, the top two MVP candidates, Austin Taylor and Allan Laviolette, face off. Taylor needs a masterclass performance in Atlanta's final regular-season game to challenge what's becoming a straightforward MVP race.
Laviolette's vision for the end zone has been extraordinary all season. He's on pace to reach 78 assists in the regular season, a feat only accomplished by three other players in UFA history (with 12 or fewer regular season games played).
One Big Number:
10 - After going without a double-digit block game in their first four games (all losses), the Flyers have hit at least 10 blocks in four of their last five games (all wins).
6.73 - Atlanta is allowing opponents just 6.73 blocks per game—the second-fewest in the league.
Madison Radicals at Minnesota Wind Chill
Saturday, July 12 - 7:00 PM/ET - Watch link
A Wind Chill win over Madison on Saturday locks in the Central Division playoff seeding: Chicago first, Minnesota second, and Madison third. However, a Radicals win intensifies the race for second.
Last week, a nearly full-strength Wind Chill played their worst game of the season, with their O-line continuing to struggle against worthy opponents. With just two games against playoff contenders before the postseason, I'm closely watching O-line standout Bryan Vohnoutka.
B-Von made uncharacteristic errors in last week's loss, reflecting a season-long drop in his performance (plus/minus per game of +2.22 vs. nearly +4 last year). He's due for a big game, and strong showings in his last four games against the Radicals offer hope he can regain his championship form as playoffs approach.
Despite being a dangerous and electric team, Madison's last four games against Minnesota have been underwhelming. In each of those contests, they've trailed the Wind Chill by at least four goals entering the fourth quarter.
For Madison to keep this game tighter, they’ll need to flex their strongest muscle: getting blocks. They've averaged just 9.75 blocks per game against the Wind Chill in their last four meetings, compared to an impressive 12.5 blocks per game overall during that period. Increased defensive plays, especially from Anthony Gutowsky, could make a noticeable difference in the final score.
One Big Number:
6.25 - B-Von’s plus/minus per game in his last four against Madison is +6.25.
0 - The number of blocks Gutowsky has recorded in Madison’s last three games against the Wind Chill.
Philadelphia Phoenix at New York Empire
Sunday, July 13 - 1:00 PM/ET - Watch link
Unless Philadelphia delivers a major upset against the Glory on Friday, this will likely be Week 12's highest-stakes game.
But it's tough to expect much from the Phoenix on Sunday. While they've had a recent winning streak, it's deceiving; they haven't beaten a team at .500 or better since Week 2, whereas everything seems to be coming together for the Empire right now.
John Randolph has become an efficient fulcrum piece of New York's offense alongside Jack Williams, who's finally looking like his old self. Plus, Matt LaBar is emerging as a new scoring threat, getting his first major O-line stint in his five years with the Empire.
My focus is on when New York’s O-line faces Philly’s D-line, since Philly’s O-line has struggled against playoff contenders. Philly’s D-line forces the fourth-most huck turnovers per game (5.67).
But they struggled mightily to defend the huck in their last game against the Empire, and New York’s huck offense has been strong lately, converting 76 percent of their huck attempts in their last two. Randolph completed a career-high four hucks in New York's last game, so I'm curious if he'll continue to take more deep shots than usual on Sunday, especially if Calvin Brown (doubtful) is inactive.
One Big Number:
90 - Last time the Empire faced the Phoenix, they completed nine of 10 hucks (90 percent).
15.25 - The Phoenix are only scoring 15.25 goals per game against teams that are currently playoff contenders.
